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CityguyUSA's avatar

Russia and the US making grand plans? Russia wouold be foolish to reinvest in anything backed by the US. Nordstream immmediately comes to mind. Even if th US would pay for the repair of Nordstream I wouldn't be quick to trust the US. If the Bering Straight is to be considered it would forever be a target to control Russia yet Russia would never treat it in that same respect. The US is no longer a trustworthy partner and hasn't been for decades and Russia trying to turn a blind eye to that would be Putin's biggest mistake ever.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Fair enough but this still doesn change the fact that having good relations beats having bad relations or no relations, as under Biden admin.

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CityguyUSA's avatar

Agreed. We need to stop this winners and losers talk and start talking about cooperative partners. Let everyone have some of the pie.

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Rafael's avatar

Are you sure it does? Putin's thanks for having been immunised from the March 2023 bank failure spree comes to mind 😆

China is a more trustworthy partner for Russia, Alex. The Russians have to be courteous towards these types of (tempting) attempts, but I agree with the sentiment expressed by CityguyUSA.

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Rodney's avatar

I understand your concern, but the corollary to a Bering Strait deal between them would be the knees cut out from the Crown/City of London. Hence no devious puppet-master telling Washington to sabotage Russia.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Exactly.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

Moot & inconsequential.

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Gemma's avatar

Rodney, the City is a lot dirtier than you can imagine. Alex has dug into one or two of the corners, but there is little that can derail it - save its own malfeasance.

Alex Mercouris spoke recently of his office in London, where the boundary between the City and Westminster ran through the middle of his desk... if you know even a little about the City, this is a remarkable situation.

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zleo99's avatar

If only City of London/UK would have the common sense to join in and provide financial services to the initiative.

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Base1Aransas's avatar

The City of London is a Satanist organization with the only mission to destroy common sense on earth.

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Ngungu's avatar

A Satanist organization run by .....

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Apr 1
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Ngungu's avatar

I am not sure what you mean by “investment”: is it money or is time spent learning about something?

In any case, I am not on Telegram for the simple reason I only have a dumb phone, not a smart phone.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

You know what dark, dank & dirty hole "financial services" can be rammed.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

This is moot. Brits no longer "rule the waves". Their piracy & control of trade is just another Limey lament. The project is just infrastructure development economics that is symbolic and may make trade marginally more efficient than shipping, but changes nothing geo-economically-politically.

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Breck's avatar

Nordsteam was not the Trump administration USA, Cityguy. Russia would have been foolish to deal with the criminal gang of Biden & Co. You're talking about two different U.S.A.s.

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Jeff's avatar

True, but Trump is gone in 4 years. What happens next? How can the USA be trusted to stay on the path of Trump, or even remotely in the same direction? Given the opportunity to double down on the previous admin's folly, the same fools (or their like minded replacements) in charge will indeed take it.

The US has no credibility. All they had was free money. And if that dries up, they have nothing.

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Breck's avatar

"True, but Trump is gone in 4 years. What happens next? How can the USA be trusted to stay on the path of Trump, or even remotely in the same direction?". By choosing a Vice-President who is on the same wavelength. Trump knew he had but one term left when he ran. He chose Vance as a way of continuing his direction - and no one can say that J.D. is not gung ho with the Trump agenda. He's a great junior partner.

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Jeff's avatar

Agreed. But, no offense to Vance, getting even remotely close to the Trump ways of doing things will be a steep hill to climb.

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Breck's avatar

Jeff, I thought, halfway thru reading your comment, that you were going to point out that Vance might not be a 'Trumpophile'! But what you wrote is easy to reply to. Vance doesn't need to be able to do things the way Trump does. In fact let's hope he doesn't! Let's face it, Trump can be ridiculous. After him, what the country needs is a seasoned, professional politician in control of himself who believes in MAGA.

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Jeff's avatar

Breck, I'm not talking about style. Vance is an outstanding option to succeed Trump. But I'm not sure he will have the same effectiveness in the types of challenges where Trump's methodology, while we may question it, cuts through the BS in a way only he can, and makes it happen.

It amazes me how the wins mount up, in spite of those of us that wouldn't think to ever go about it as Trump does. Nobody else will have that capability. Including Vance. He will get his share of wins, and hopefully, a fertile ground will be left to amplify those wins. Where he will get more is his ability to convey a message so clearly, and bury the gotcha posers each and every time.

It's always about messaging, and Vance is a great student.

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JustTruth's avatar

Yes, if Trump has a functional brain and a semblance if common sense left. He needs to keep his flagrant mouth in check and treat Russia as EQUALS.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

It's difficult to say with Trump; we'll have to judge him/his administration by their deeds. If we judged them by what comes out of Trump's mouth.. oh boy..

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JustTruth's avatar

Agreed. Trump has proven nothing to me in his foreign policy. By all appearances he is still captured by the MIC and owes blood money to the Zionists.

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Base1Aransas's avatar

Tell me who is against Trump MORE than the Babylon Magic Money Machine of DEBT, that funds the MIC for their perpetual wars?

If you can't, I understand.

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Ngungu's avatar

Can you? If so, please enlighten all of us.

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Rafael's avatar

How people present themselves is not worthy of judgement too?

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CityguyUSA's avatar

Most presidents we judge in hindsight. I mean years or even decades. Trump poses a different problem I don't know the game. I don't know how to interpret what he says and what it means to us. Right now it seems like he's trying to destroy free speech in America but that's opposite of his campaign promise what does one make of that? Is it as simple as actions speak louder than words? Is he that simplistic? What does one make of the fact that he's threatening Iran and he's dropping bombs in Yemen? I wouldn't have expected any of this based on what he was saying during his campaign. I thought he had wised up. I thought he figured out the politics part in his first term and now he was going to correct the mistakes he made. But he's even backpedaling on Ukraine and I no longer know what to expect from any of what he promised. The JFK release, the Epstein release, everything has not been what he claimed it would be and I don't know if that's people behind the scenes or if he never had any intention of anything he said?

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RalfB's avatar

The reason that British Empire strategists endorsed the three-pole order is perfidious: it is because a three-way balance of power is inherently unstable. To understand why, ask any serious chess player why three-way chess is not a thing. Many would-be inventors proposed various variants of three-player chess, on various board configurations, but none has been popular. That is because the three-way game is not decided by careful build-up, far-looking tactics, and other subtleties that make normal chess a good game. It is decided solely by alliance, by two players deciding to gang up on the other. And once that player is weakened, the alliance shifts, and someone else becomes the scapegoat. Three-way chess is all about this forming and betrayal of alliances, there is no greater depth to the game.

The same situation would obtain in a tripolar balance of power. While seemingly balanced, it would be an arena for timely alliances and betrayals of two powers against one. The British viewed this as a perfect opportunity to play their competitors against each other, confident in their own greater finesse at betrayal. But the key aspect of such a balance is its perpetual instability, until finally one of the three powers is broken, and things shift to a bipolar balance, which is stable.

The seemingly innocent tripolar proposal is either a naive blunder or, far more likely, deliberate subversion.

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Aida Copcic's avatar

Agree. And yet, we compare one’s words with actions over a longer period to detect one's intentions and prevent individuals high in psychopathy from reaching power positions which would threaten the group preservation.

"...it is well to seem merciful, faithful, humane, sincere, religious, and also to be so; but you must have the mind so disposed that when it is needful to be otherwise you may be able to change to the opposite qualities...to act against faith, against charity, against humanity, and against religion…to do evil if constrained.”(Machiavelli)

That is the empire's rule. But what is the point in deceiving, if no one believes you? We already have international laws that all states should respect.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

1 could argue religion, as opposed to its theology, is institutionalized power & control of theology adherents.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

Great comment - worthy of a treatise/an essay!

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G1 Tim's avatar

Why would Russia trust the USA? Even if they were to be amenable to Trump’s “good intentions” towards them, and look past his bluster on forcing a Ukraine ‘deal’, Trump will be gone in 2029, and then what?

Trust takes almost a lifetime to build and is easily destroyed. There is no advantage for Russia to build gas pipes over the Baring Strait to Alaska. Canada has its own supply and pipelines to the USA and look at all the problems and delays the XL pipeline faced. A Russian pipeline would simply be a resource wasting exercise to stretch Russian resources on a pipeline to nothing.

Trump may be doing well so far, in his domestic regeneration attempts and he has had success in cowing Denmark, Colombia, Canada and Mexico. It won’t be so with the big boys where sanctions are ineffectual and further debilitating to the USA’s credibility and standing. The same can be said particularly to his wayyy-misjudged Gaza pronouncements.

The good, the bad and the very-ugly-bad.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Of course they shouldn't trust the USA. But having relations and good relations beats having bad relations or no relations like under Biden.

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Cael's avatar

Trump has increased the numbers of tariffs on Russia past 1500 in his short time in office. Things are not getting better.

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JC Denton's avatar

No nation trusts any other nation. Period. But, they should be able to get along on a minimally trusting basis, even nations which are strongly opposed. The USA and USSR are a good example.

No leader wants a thermonuclear explosion in his capital. Leaders also know that their "enemy" leaders don't want this. You can build some limited trust based on this, enough to get by.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

Exactly. Most westerners forget, or repress, MADD which dominated our psyches for 40 years, until the Grand-Victory of "winning" the Cold War. Dunces &/or psychotics.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

Sorry, MAD, not Mamas Against Drunk Drivers.

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JC Denton's avatar

As the fantastic 1983 film WarGames stated: "The only winning move is not to play"

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Ngungu's avatar

Not with the U.S. anymore, and certainly not with Trump – remember the JCPOA.

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HAPPY CHAPPY's avatar

The US hardly needs Russian gas. It's already burning off rather than using millions of m3.

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Fayanne's avatar

Maybe Americans will vote (2028) vote overwhelmingly for those in the Trump administration “left behind“ to carry on

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Mouzer's avatar

Very interesting article. I think a good early move would be to stop using SWIFT as a political weapon. No doubt you are right: the EU desperately wants war as they can use it to default. But they, like the Democratic party, are so enmeshed in obsolete ideas, they just can't pivot. Both are doomed.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Thank you. Agreed, the transition will be hard and disruptive. But so far so good...

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HAPPY CHAPPY's avatar

Using SWIFT as a political weapon was a major dumb move.

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Ngungu's avatar

It was an inadvertently smart move from Russia point of view because it pushed the country to speed up its own system and hook up with China's and get other countries involved, such as Iran and Turkey.

Also from Russia's pov, it sped up Swift's obsolescence.

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Luke's avatar

Read the summarized version on X a bit earlier. Awesome piece. Lots of reason to be excited out there. That’s fantastic because it came just in the Nick of time. I believe we were headed for some really bad times. At least we got some breathing room; although we are nowhere near out of the woods yet.

You guys think Trump punked DC with his Kellogg pick. After the election I did my best to advise people to stay positive. Trump dare not tip his hat now. Instead he waited for 1/20/25 to show his cards. As I suspected it was a wise move. There’s NO going back now though. The Rubicon has been crossed. It’s existential for us all at this point make no mistake about it.

We MUST continue to dismantle the beast.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Thank you Luke - I entirely agree, and your approach is exactly the right stuff. It can all fail, it can all be scuttled and sabotaged, but there's no excuse not to make the best of this opening.

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Ismaele's avatar

Very interesting, but how do you reconcile your theory with Trump's plan to "own" Gaza? Also, you mention that Iran and Turkey could have their spheres of influence, but how is it going to happen if the US owns Gaza or with the genocidal state of Israel (which you omit!) in the Middle East causing havoc over there?

Very optimistic, but maybe not realistic.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Trump's plan for Gaza barely deserves a mention, it's so stupid. But so was Keith Kellogg's plan for Ukraine. Yesterday (12 Feb. 2025) Putin and Trump spoke; Trump's named a delegation for continued discussions. Guess who's not in it? That's right, Kellogg.

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Ismaele's avatar

Let's forget Trump's plan for Gaza. We still need to address the second question in my comment above, the elephant in the room, i.e. Israel.

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Surviving the Billionaire Wars's avatar

Pure speculation here: I was thinking of something earlier today. I've read recently that Israel may have been involved/behind the JFK assassination.

What if Trump learned that in his 1st term. He has promised to release the files. Something like that would blow up a lot of heads in the US.

He needed Zionist/bankster $$ to pay of his legal fees & this campaign.

He couldn't take it on in his 1st term. But could have been playing for time & inside info.

Releasing the files could justify his pulling the rug out from Israel ...

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Nakayama's avatar

That is, if there is still anything valuable left after so many years controlled by the counter-revolutionaries.

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Surviving the Billionaire Wars's avatar

Trump's plan for Gaza is so outrageous that It've speculated it was designed as flak, to keep his enemies distracted & running in circles.

That is the only remotely sensible thing I could make of it.

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JDK's avatar

Seems Russian and US (MAGA) have a common enemy: Global Elite/ One World Order. This could be a spectacular way to counter the efforts that have been ongoing for over a century.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Yes, spot on!

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T. Andre's avatar

The USA is essentially controlled by the financial industry, who control the Fed and create the Dollar (Fiat currency, Cantillion effect etc) A handful of families control Wall St and City of London, they live in symbiosis.

These families are heavily Zionist, have a hateful disposition towards Russia, and need to support the financial system to ensure further credit creation, based on collateral based on capturing resources. Thus the 70-80-100 trillion of Siberian resources are their life saver.

In addition, their long hate of Russia is another reason we are in a war, and there will be no peace with large parts of the world. Nuland, Blinken, Rothschild (kicked out of the Russian Central Bank), Kowolmoskyi and many more pulled the strings.

The USA, GB and by extension the West is captured by these interests. AIPAC, is just the tip of the Iceberg, the families running the financial industry are the issue.

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Correct. However, nothing lasts forever. What came to be can equally cease being and the time is now.

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Elena's avatar

I thought you were making a "kamala Harris expression":"What can be, unburdened by what has been" :)

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

She was just as likely, if not more, referring to the complete imposition of discrimination AGAINST straight white guys.

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Elena's avatar

I think she was just waffling.

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lsgv's avatar

The natural order of things is for Russia and Germany to ally and dominate the landmass. Avoiding this is what Britain”s foreign policy and, after the fall of the empire, America’s, has been about. He who controls the landmass controls the world. I believe your post is interesting but not realistic as it would relegate the USofA to 2nd fiddle.

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HAPPY CHAPPY's avatar

Even Hitler understood Germany needed Russia for it's grain, minerals and energy reserves. 80 years later, what's changed?

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Breck's avatar

MACKINDER

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litoralis's avatar

thx 4 the reference i hadnt heard of him

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

Exactly. This view has for a long time been appreciated by many but is akin to a "dirty BIG secret".

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dornoch altbinhax's avatar

Overcoming "not agreement capable" entails something called building trust. It's totally up to the US side to make real and significant concessions before putting "not agreement capable" to bed. Probably not in my lifetme.

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Aida Copcic's avatar

Trust is a major issue. A desire to communicate truth is a necessity for trust to develop. If one believes that the other's intention is to persuade, communication will cease because persuasion assumes self-interest. A cynic would claim that all communication is persuasion only, just as ‘all human beings are selfish and greedy’, but this worldview fosters endemic corruption and normalises evilness. Only brute force remains for the empire as it desires to project power, but Its strength is diminishing.

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Surviving the Billionaire Wars's avatar

A lot of concessions & heads must roll to show he's serious.

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dornoch altbinhax's avatar

I've said this elsewhere but the US must put war criminals across the board, all, on trial. Not a token Nuremberg where guilty parties are let off the hook, with only the few meeting justice. The US started the post Cold War era with continual aggression. Saying and doing, it's up to the US to do and clean house thoroughly.

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Surviving the Billionaire Wars's avatar

Exactly. No exceptions.

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Kathryn's avatar

The Russian people and American people are inherently sympathetic, and could make a good alliance.

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RalfB's avatar

The people may be sympathetic, Russians especially, but that has nothing to do with politics, which is decided by unsympathetic scoundrels, American especially.

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T. Andre's avatar

A handful of families running Wall St and the City of London, most of them hate Russia

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RealityCheck's avatar

And let me add that they all love Israel and this is a massive problem.

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

“American democracy consists of jackals worshiped by jackasses.”

“No one ever went broke underestimating the taste of the American public.”

- attributed to H. L. Mencken, a well-known writer and critic from Baltimore.

Variant - “No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.”

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Bendt Obermann's avatar

American people are a multi-shaded kaleidoscope of venal bat-shit crazzzy.

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Grasshopper Kaplan's avatar

cUrsula wonder Liar warms up the hemlock punch for the demoRats

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Gemma's avatar

She is just a functionary. She does as she's told.

If you look at her work when acting as defence minister to Angela Merkel, she was only doing her job - in the face of immense media pressure.

At the same time, something else was going on that completely foxed the Americans... because the Americans wanted Germany to spend more on their defence. They weren't looking...

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Fernando's avatar

I suspect Trump fears BRICS, which have a lot of Geopolitical COMMON SENSE, as opposed to the Hegemonic United States military, economic and cultural aggressive behavior and ever changing rules.

Check the BRICS DE FACTO Cornerstones:

1. It is NOT a military alliance.

It is purely COMMERCIAL, with absolute respect for other cultures, civilizations, political regimes and ideology.

2. There is NOT nor can be a Hegemonic Nation. All are considered Equal. Convince Trump of THAT.

3. No one Nation is allowed to Sanction any other member.

4. NOT a single national currency can be THE common currency (as the US dollar is today).

5. There is NO interference allowed in the Internal Affairs of any other member.

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John Day MD's avatar

Thanks Alex. There is a lot of potential for good, but there is also potential for new formulations of evil.

Onward...

;-/

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Very true. However, this issue is too important not to give it the absolute best from both sides and end with the forever wars.

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Anders Baat's avatar

Thank you Alex for your open mind regarding all that is happening ! I recommend a listen to Tom Luongo 2 piece podcast with Arcadia Economics and especially the latest episode of Doug Casey’s Take with explanation of Trumps great reset, which is throwing in even more in to the mixture !

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Alex Krainer's avatar

Thank you Anders!

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