Apr 18, 2023·edited Apr 18, 2023Liked by Alex Krainer
50%-down, in real value is without doubt, highly plausible with the coming 1-1½ years. Regarding the usd & euro. Among other currencies.
The P/E traditional method of evaluating stocks/bonds, 'flew-out-the-door' permanently(!) in 2008.
Certain...metals, will see...tremendous increases.
I remember opening my *Credit Suisse*-account in Cairo 1979 and...within 6-8 months after my purchase of 1+kg Gold parked at the Zürich Airport Depository increased over 3-fold(!!!).
In the Spring of 1980, I met for the 1st-time my own..'private banker' on the Hofbahnstrasse in Zürich. Maurice G, on the 2nd-floor. Persian rugs and crystal-Chandeliers. Nobody else except...the..'concierge(cough-cough). "Want some coffee or tea before M.G. meets You?".
Well. Ok.
Long-story-short. I believe *precious metals* will...accelerate in price, when the 'stock markets drop' dramatically. The time period is...as You-Alex know, a very-short-window.
My own advice is...get-in...then get OUT(!)...ASAP! The timing is critical.
Any...'advice/comments/suggestions Alex'?. Of course...U-don't-ain't givin' no finance advice here...wink-wink :))
We'll see. For sure it'll be bumpy and I expect bad things in this world (I mean the world of markets and finance). Agree that metals and other commodities will probably have huge run-ups and this will be sustaine for years. Books will be written about this period and people in the future will marvel about it.
Apr 19, 2023·edited Apr 19, 2023Liked by Alex Krainer
...re: Regarding 'precious metals' of course the long-term trend is most definitely ^^upwards^^. No question about it. But/However, in my long life I've seen there are almost always downturns(short term) as well.
As W. Buffet said, "when the tide goes out we'll see who's been swimming naked". The bankster-gangsters, in my experience always use a *shakedown* forcing a small but considerable sell-off. Make's sense if one controls the money-printing. Motto : "Get more for Zero Costs. It's a Winner Everytime.". Like the ebbs of the tide, the waves vary in size from placid-to-storm. Most people will just 'flush the toilet', not return until long after the stink has disappeared. Crude, but true.
That's my 2-cents, which means, it really ain't worth very much. Have a Good 1 All ;)
Correct again - commodities are always very sensitive to liquidity conditions. Even in a secular bull market you can have brutal corrections (Natural Gas dropped 80% in less than a year just now - did the fundamentals deteriorate THAT badly all of a sudden?). Again, this is why I advocate trend following - you really can't predict anything but the big changes always take a few weeks/months/years to unfold and they do so as trends.
Hi Alex. I don't wanna be considered a *road hog*. However at my age, statistically-speaking, between the ages of 65-80 yrs of age, 1 has a 50%-chance of surviving to achieve a new birthday.
Of course I'm sure You've listened to the following done yesterday -
These are in principle, up-to-date excellent assetments of where We are, plebs & patricians alike.
The 2^^above^^ discussions done the past few days are IMHO an absolute-must in understanding the Macro-Economics/Geo-/Monetary Developments which are 0-Null-Noll-Zero appearing in the western-msm. Yep. Surely an eye-opener for All.
FACTOIDS:
1- John Dee. The original '007' - "John Dee (13 July 1527 - 1608 or 1609) was an English mathematician, astronomer, astrologer, teacher, occultist, and alchemist. He was the court astronomer for, and advisor to, Elizabeth I, and spent much of his time on alchemy, divination, and Hermetic philosophy."
"... The result was Brytannicæ Republicæ Synopsis (Summary of the Commonwealth of Britain). This was a flowchart in which Dee presented the problems facing the nation and possible solutions, and was used to lobby Elizabeth for more expansionist policies. ... Conceiving the 'British Empire' Dee was ..." https://duckduckgo.com/?q=John+Dee+British+Commonwealth&t=ffab&atb=v224-1&ia=web
2) Ever consider that New Holland, New Zeeland, New Amsterdam... became new -named places post 1650's. After the direct-transfer from Amsterdam to London?
So.
3) Anyway, regarding some modern *factoids* for...reflection : "..I’ve had a very interesting factoid floating-in-my skull regarding Tronald Dump.
Somewhere around 2016, I remember reading a NYTimes article(circa 1986-88) w/screenshot on ‘which (((group))) of the 33 of 36 richest real estate owners in NYC/Manhattan’ were a member of. Well, it ain’t weren’t the Amish, if You-get-my-drift. Anyway, it’s quite evident the Tronald was set-up/manufactured to be the Blonde-haired Goy-boy face for this collective bankster-gangster mafia @Affiliate New Amsterdam/New York City. Yep. I would bet 1 of 1,000 may/perhaps know it was the Oliver Cromwell-financiers that literally built/started Wall Street. Yeah. A wall in southern New Amsterdam. i.e. a subsidiary of Londinium..." My own quote.
Sorry. I would like to share some un-adulterade facts before I can't do it any longer. ;)
Good Morning Alex and All. Yes. We are now *entering the Twilights Zone', so-to-speak. The advent of the internet, high-speed connections connecting brokerage firms and stock exchanges is in the milli-seconds and *regular plebs* don't have any real chance to beat the algorithms. I experienced that late-2008 and afterwards.
The *System* is more rigged than ever. What most people don't realize is the co[n]vid-19 shutdowns + the boycott/sanctions constrictions on western-5 eyes & european economies has only 'dampen' real economic growth/causing recession. As the central banks printed all that 'funny money'. The constrictions on loans to private entrepreneurs is/has dried up. On top of all that, the Germans just closed 3-nuclear power plants, the Dutch gov't is trying to get rid of 30% of the Dutch Farmers....etc etc.
Inflation? We haven't seen nothin' yet.
Anyway, your business-model Alex is 'reality-based'. But, when things are sooo topsy-turvey it tuff for All. I know what I'm gonna do. But that I'll save for Myself and the few people I truly trust. Bon Chance
ps. remember, none of us get-out of this place alive. don't be a loser and Smile! ;) :)
Apr 20, 2023·edited Apr 20, 2023Liked by Alex Krainer
Imagine. The 'perfect shot'.
i.e. Ronald R , coming down the ca. 500m incline from, Töölö/Mehlathi, slowing -down to swing-left at/by Munnkineinipouistie, on RR's journey to meet for the 1st-time, Mikael Gorbechev 1988.
Yep. "talkin' about the-swing...left"....kind'a like JFK.
I abhorred violence. I'm sooo glad, the MK-Ultra...'thing'...never ever gained traction with Me. Yep. Irrespective of Karma, I will never do anyone's 'dirty work'.
"The Trend is your Friend"...optimizing risk...an influential read in my life has been..."The Drunkard's Walk... How Randomness Rules Our Lives"...authored by Leonard Mlodinow...less fat tail and more underlying lizard brained...he posits that we humans filter out chaos...random events...we are deterministic...to overcome the negative outcomes of surprises...providing a false...or limited ability to make predictions...danger/loss avoidance...algos surely help understand history and programable inferences derived from "surprise" aversion...still like the Matrix narrative...a growing number of us are awakening to the reality that our "realities" have been shaped by hundreds of years of psyops...as we wake up en masse...we prefer not to walk off the sidewalk and into a bus...the bus that we were formerly passengers on...I ask have the algos trended for this?
Somehow I believe your guesstimate is conservative, Alex. For all practical purposes the D word is likely to be revised once millennial jobs are lost and small business starts boarding up. The main question I have is whether the neocons will be able to divert our attention towards Taiwan and successfully close down serious journalism like yours, or will there be a move from the Pentagon to finally counter their malevolent influence. On the latter possibility I link here John Helmer's latest article for your perusal which someone at Locals published this morning. It actually provides some optimism, however scant: https://johnhelmer.net/the-pentagon-papers-are-the-death-rattle-of-the-emperor-not-yet-of-the-empire/
50%-down, in real value is without doubt, highly plausible with the coming 1-1½ years. Regarding the usd & euro. Among other currencies.
The P/E traditional method of evaluating stocks/bonds, 'flew-out-the-door' permanently(!) in 2008.
Certain...metals, will see...tremendous increases.
I remember opening my *Credit Suisse*-account in Cairo 1979 and...within 6-8 months after my purchase of 1+kg Gold parked at the Zürich Airport Depository increased over 3-fold(!!!).
In the Spring of 1980, I met for the 1st-time my own..'private banker' on the Hofbahnstrasse in Zürich. Maurice G, on the 2nd-floor. Persian rugs and crystal-Chandeliers. Nobody else except...the..'concierge(cough-cough). "Want some coffee or tea before M.G. meets You?".
Well. Ok.
Long-story-short. I believe *precious metals* will...accelerate in price, when the 'stock markets drop' dramatically. The time period is...as You-Alex know, a very-short-window.
My own advice is...get-in...then get OUT(!)...ASAP! The timing is critical.
Any...'advice/comments/suggestions Alex'?. Of course...U-don't-ain't givin' no finance advice here...wink-wink :))
Best Regards Chris
We'll see. For sure it'll be bumpy and I expect bad things in this world (I mean the world of markets and finance). Agree that metals and other commodities will probably have huge run-ups and this will be sustaine for years. Books will be written about this period and people in the future will marvel about it.
...re: Regarding 'precious metals' of course the long-term trend is most definitely ^^upwards^^. No question about it. But/However, in my long life I've seen there are almost always downturns(short term) as well.
As W. Buffet said, "when the tide goes out we'll see who's been swimming naked". The bankster-gangsters, in my experience always use a *shakedown* forcing a small but considerable sell-off. Make's sense if one controls the money-printing. Motto : "Get more for Zero Costs. It's a Winner Everytime.". Like the ebbs of the tide, the waves vary in size from placid-to-storm. Most people will just 'flush the toilet', not return until long after the stink has disappeared. Crude, but true.
That's my 2-cents, which means, it really ain't worth very much. Have a Good 1 All ;)
Correct again - commodities are always very sensitive to liquidity conditions. Even in a secular bull market you can have brutal corrections (Natural Gas dropped 80% in less than a year just now - did the fundamentals deteriorate THAT badly all of a sudden?). Again, this is why I advocate trend following - you really can't predict anything but the big changes always take a few weeks/months/years to unfold and they do so as trends.
Hi Alex. I don't wanna be considered a *road hog*. However at my age, statistically-speaking, between the ages of 65-80 yrs of age, 1 has a 50%-chance of surviving to achieve a new birthday.
Of course I'm sure You've listened to the following done yesterday -
*The Roundtable #54: Brian Berletic and Pepe Escobar* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E86JHnl5NJE
And, I had the...*järtecken*-signal to listen to Mike Hudson's discussion with D.H. a couple of hours after release. HERE : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWQjYAg_M84
These are in principle, up-to-date excellent assetments of where We are, plebs & patricians alike.
The 2^^above^^ discussions done the past few days are IMHO an absolute-must in understanding the Macro-Economics/Geo-/Monetary Developments which are 0-Null-Noll-Zero appearing in the western-msm. Yep. Surely an eye-opener for All.
FACTOIDS:
1- John Dee. The original '007' - "John Dee (13 July 1527 - 1608 or 1609) was an English mathematician, astronomer, astrologer, teacher, occultist, and alchemist. He was the court astronomer for, and advisor to, Elizabeth I, and spent much of his time on alchemy, divination, and Hermetic philosophy."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Dee
And, of course the *commonwealth*/Brittish Empire/Brittish Commonwealth -
https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=John+Dee&atb=v224-1&ia=web
"... The result was Brytannicæ Republicæ Synopsis (Summary of the Commonwealth of Britain). This was a flowchart in which Dee presented the problems facing the nation and possible solutions, and was used to lobby Elizabeth for more expansionist policies. ... Conceiving the 'British Empire' Dee was ..." https://duckduckgo.com/?q=John+Dee+British+Commonwealth&t=ffab&atb=v224-1&ia=web
2) Ever consider that New Holland, New Zeeland, New Amsterdam... became new -named places post 1650's. After the direct-transfer from Amsterdam to London?
So.
3) Anyway, regarding some modern *factoids* for...reflection : "..I’ve had a very interesting factoid floating-in-my skull regarding Tronald Dump.
Somewhere around 2016, I remember reading a NYTimes article(circa 1986-88) w/screenshot on ‘which (((group))) of the 33 of 36 richest real estate owners in NYC/Manhattan’ were a member of. Well, it ain’t weren’t the Amish, if You-get-my-drift. Anyway, it’s quite evident the Tronald was set-up/manufactured to be the Blonde-haired Goy-boy face for this collective bankster-gangster mafia @Affiliate New Amsterdam/New York City. Yep. I would bet 1 of 1,000 may/perhaps know it was the Oliver Cromwell-financiers that literally built/started Wall Street. Yeah. A wall in southern New Amsterdam. i.e. a subsidiary of Londinium..." My own quote.
Sorry. I would like to share some un-adulterade facts before I can't do it any longer. ;)
Good Morning Alex and All. Yes. We are now *entering the Twilights Zone', so-to-speak. The advent of the internet, high-speed connections connecting brokerage firms and stock exchanges is in the milli-seconds and *regular plebs* don't have any real chance to beat the algorithms. I experienced that late-2008 and afterwards.
The *System* is more rigged than ever. What most people don't realize is the co[n]vid-19 shutdowns + the boycott/sanctions constrictions on western-5 eyes & european economies has only 'dampen' real economic growth/causing recession. As the central banks printed all that 'funny money'. The constrictions on loans to private entrepreneurs is/has dried up. On top of all that, the Germans just closed 3-nuclear power plants, the Dutch gov't is trying to get rid of 30% of the Dutch Farmers....etc etc.
Inflation? We haven't seen nothin' yet.
Anyway, your business-model Alex is 'reality-based'. But, when things are sooo topsy-turvey it tuff for All. I know what I'm gonna do. But that I'll save for Myself and the few people I truly trust. Bon Chance
ps. remember, none of us get-out of this place alive. don't be a loser and Smile! ;) :)
Imagine. The 'perfect shot'.
i.e. Ronald R , coming down the ca. 500m incline from, Töölö/Mehlathi, slowing -down to swing-left at/by Munnkineinipouistie, on RR's journey to meet for the 1st-time, Mikael Gorbechev 1988.
Yep. "talkin' about the-swing...left"....kind'a like JFK.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=reagan+gorbachev+1988&t=ffab&atb=v224-1&ia=web
Or, perhaps, Tony Hagström's HQ's at Televerket's HQ at Gamla Stan.. Slottsbacken...1990-91.
Only about 30meters dirctly across from the *Castle Sweden*.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=Tony+Hagstr%C3%B6m+televerket&t=ffab&atb=v224-1&ia=web
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamla_stan
Or, perhaps, direct daily contact with M. Wallenberg, scion of the Wallenberg-banker-investor oligarchs/SEB-Investor, at Sergels Torgs HQ, in the middle-of-Stockholm 2004. https://duckduckgo.com/?q=Marcus+Wallenberg+SEB&t=ffab&atb=v224-1&ia=web
I abhorred violence. I'm sooo glad, the MK-Ultra...'thing'...never ever gained traction with Me. Yep. Irrespective of Karma, I will never do anyone's 'dirty work'.
100%-True. On My Mother & Father's Grave.
AMEN
Alex, thank you! Us for those whose pensions were ‘relocated’ to the sphere of entrepreneurial miracles of the market, news is just too depressing!
Well I said I was entirely agnostic about the predictions. Anything specific you disagree with? I'm curious to know, maybe I'm wrong about something.
"The Trend is your Friend"...optimizing risk...an influential read in my life has been..."The Drunkard's Walk... How Randomness Rules Our Lives"...authored by Leonard Mlodinow...less fat tail and more underlying lizard brained...he posits that we humans filter out chaos...random events...we are deterministic...to overcome the negative outcomes of surprises...providing a false...or limited ability to make predictions...danger/loss avoidance...algos surely help understand history and programable inferences derived from "surprise" aversion...still like the Matrix narrative...a growing number of us are awakening to the reality that our "realities" have been shaped by hundreds of years of psyops...as we wake up en masse...we prefer not to walk off the sidewalk and into a bus...the bus that we were formerly passengers on...I ask have the algos trended for this?
Somehow I believe your guesstimate is conservative, Alex. For all practical purposes the D word is likely to be revised once millennial jobs are lost and small business starts boarding up. The main question I have is whether the neocons will be able to divert our attention towards Taiwan and successfully close down serious journalism like yours, or will there be a move from the Pentagon to finally counter their malevolent influence. On the latter possibility I link here John Helmer's latest article for your perusal which someone at Locals published this morning. It actually provides some optimism, however scant: https://johnhelmer.net/the-pentagon-papers-are-the-death-rattle-of-the-emperor-not-yet-of-the-empire/